Embraer Sa Stock Volatility

EMBJ Stock   70.14  3.13  4.27%   
Embraer SA is very steady at the moment. Embraer SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.083, which denotes the company had a 0.083 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Embraer SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Embraer SA's Semi Deviation of 2.07, downside deviation of 2.18, and Mean Deviation of 1.6 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.083

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Based on monthly moving average Embraer SA is performing at about 6% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Embraer SA by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Embraer SA's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Embraer SA Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Embraer daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Embraer's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Embraer SA volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Embraer SA at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Embraer stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes. Main indicators related to Embraer SA's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.64
Alpha
0.0899
Risk
2.01
Sharpe Ratio
0.083
Expected Return
0.17

Moving together with Embraer Stock

  0.9RTX Raytheon TechnologiesPairCorr
  0.91BA BoeingPairCorr
  0.92LMT Lockheed MartinPairCorr
  0.91NOC Northrop GrummanPairCorr
  0.88GD General DynamicsPairCorr
  0.73HWM Howmet Aerospace Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.74TDG Transdigm Group Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.74BIMT Bitmis CorpPairCorr
  0.7FNNCF Financial 15 SplitPairCorr
  0.77CODQL Coronado Global ResourcesPairCorr
  0.73TYGO Tigo Energy Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.9DFTX Definium Therapeutics Symbol ChangePairCorr

Moving against Embraer Stock

  0.75RLLCF Rolls Royce HoldingsPairCorr
  0.58PNGM Er TherapeuticsPairCorr

Embraer SA Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Embraer SA's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Embraer stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Embraer stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Embraer SA's beta of 0.64 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Embraer SA stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Embraer SA currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.03 and Jensen Alpha of 0.09. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Embraer SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Embraer SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Embraer SA correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.09   β0.64
3 Months Beta |Analyze Embraer SA Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Embraer SA correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Embraer SA Volatility and Downside Risk

Embraer standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Using Embraer Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Embraer SA grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Embraer SA at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Embraer Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Embraer SA's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Embraer SA will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Embraer SA's PUT expiring on 2026-05-15

   Profit   
       Embraer SA Price At Expiration  

Current Embraer SA Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
EMBJ260515P00025000-0.0458280.00170512026-05-150.0 - 1.50.0View
Put
EMBJ260515P00030000-0.0481190.00225952026-05-150.0 - 1.150.0View
Put
EMBJ260515P00040000-0.036210.00326582026-05-150.05 - 0.750.0View
Put
EMBJ260515P00045000-0.0489760.004894332026-05-150.2 - 0.750.0View
Put
EMBJ260515P00050000-0.0745420.007754102026-05-150.45 - 0.90.0View
Put
EMBJ260515P00055000-0.1289220.012362492026-05-151.0 - 1.450.0View
Put
EMBJ260515P00060000-0.2255490.01698782026-05-151.95 - 3.30.0View
Put
EMBJ260515P00065000-0.3193570.023581462026-05-153.4 - 3.70.0View
Put
EMBJ260515P00070000-0.450550.026763242026-05-155.6 - 5.90.0View
Put
EMBJ260515P00075000-0.5895850.027761182026-05-156.7 - 10.20.0View
View All Embraer SA Options

Embraer SA Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Embraer SA stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Embraer SA's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Embraer SA's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Embraer SA's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Embraer SA's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Embraer SA's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Embraer SA's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Embraer SA's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Embraer SA Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Embraer SA Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Embraer SA has a beta of 0.6439 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Embraer SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Embraer SA will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Embraer SA or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Embraer SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Embraer stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Embraer SA has an alpha of 0.0899, implying that it can generate a 0.0899 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Embraer SA's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how embraer stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Embraer SA Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Embraer SA Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Embraer SA is 1204.44. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.03 and standard deviation of 2.01. The mean deviation of Embraer SA is currently at 1.57. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.74
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
2.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Embraer SA Stock Return Volatility

Embraer SA historical daily return volatility represents how much of Embraer SA stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 2.0075% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7533% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

KRMNDRS
KRMNHII
CAEHII
DRSHII
CAETXT
CAEKRMN
  

High negative correlations

AYIDRS
AYIHII
AYIKRMN
AYIBLD
AYICAE
AYITXT

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Embraer Stock performing well and Embraer SA Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Embraer SA's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
HII  1.58  0.35  0.19  0.37  1.45 
 3.93 
 8.60 
DRS  1.43  0.11  0.04  0.29  1.53 
 3.77 
 9.17 
TXT  1.08  0.15  0.08  0.21  1.53 
 2.31 
 11.43 
BLD  1.83  0.18  0.11  0.16  1.69 
 4.50 
 10.98 
KRMN  3.27  0.43  0.11  0.50  3.51 
 8.60 
 16.85 
STRL  2.93 (0.11)(0.01) 0.00  4.60 
 5.34 
 21.66 
CAE  1.40  0.16  0.06  17.95  1.63 
 3.17 
 9.61 
AYI  1.37 (0.22) 0.00 (0.19) 0.00 
 2.46 
 16.54 
CR  1.35 (0.09)(0.02) 0.00  2.46 
 2.36 
 15.15 
STN  1.14 (0.22) 0.00 (0.12) 0.00 
 1.96 
 8.69 

About Embraer SA Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Embraer SA or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Embraer SA may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Embraer's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Embraer SA and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Embraer SA fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses356.2 M294.4 M
Market Cap7.7 B11.6 B
Embraer SA's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Embraer Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Embraer SA's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Embraer SA's volatility to invest better

Higher Embraer SA's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Embraer SA stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Embraer SA stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Embraer SA investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Embraer SA's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Embraer SA's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Embraer SA Investment Opportunity

Embraer SA has a volatility of 2.01 and is 2.68 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 18 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Embraer SA. You can use Embraer SA to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Embraer SA to be traded at 66.63 in 90 days.

Poor diversification

The correlation between Embraer SA and DJI is 0.76 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Embraer SA and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Embraer SA Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Embraer SA's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Embraer SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Embraer SA stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Embraer SA Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Embraer SA as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Embraer SA's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Embraer SA's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Embraer SA.
When determining whether Embraer SA is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Embraer Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Embraer Sa Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Embraer Sa Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Embraer SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
For more information on how to buy Embraer Stock please use our How to buy in Embraer Stock guide.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
What growth prospects exist in Aerospace & Defense sector? Can Embraer capture new markets? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Embraer SA. Projected growth potential of Embraer fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Valuation analysis balances hard financial data with qualitative growth assessments. While each Embraer SA valuation metric matters, prioritizing which indicators carry greater predictive weight remains essential.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.37)
Dividend Share
0.07
Earnings Share
1.72
Revenue Per Share
224.972
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.158
Embraer SA's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Embraer's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Embraer SA's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Since Embraer SA's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Embraer SA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Embraer SA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Embraer SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.